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DOWSeptember 10, 1996PURSUE Release 01 (May 2026)
DOW-UAP-D48, Department of the Air Force Report, 1996
Summary
This report from the Department of the Air Force, dated 1996, details the modeling of unlikely space-booster failures in risk calculations. It documents historical launch failure modes and recommends corrective actions using novel modeling techniques.
Key highlights
The report focuses on Mode-5 failure responses in launch vehicles.p.4
“Mode-5 failure responses are much less likely to occur”
It discusses the impact density function used in risk analysis.p.4
“The impact density function used for this purpose contains two shaping constants”
The report includes a failure history of Atlas, Delta, and Titan launches.p.4
“An appendix to the report contains a listing and brief narrative failure history”
It emphasizes the importance of modeling unlikely failures for safety.p.10
“Such failures should not be ignored, since they may produce nearly all or a significant part of the risks”
The report outlines methodologies for assessing failure probabilities.p.22
“A primary purpose of this study is to develop estimates of the relative probabilities of occurrence”
Source
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